Painful Truth: Election predictions as clear as mud

It’s obvious who will win the next election in Langley. Right?

The election race is on in Langley Township!

With Councillor Kim Richter’s announcement, we have our first race, even though it’s 11 months to go until the actual election.

This is a perfect time to make some predictions about the results.

To figure out who is most likely to win, Richter or incumbent Mayor Jack Froese, we’re going to have to look at a bit of history.

Langley has seen a series of upsets, going back to the 1990s.

In 1996, we saw slate politics emerge in the Township in a big way, with the Langley Leadership Team taking control of a majority of the seats and placing John Scholtens in the mayor’s chair.

In 1999, slates were out, and so was Scholtens, replaced by Kurt Alberts. He was in turn bounced after three terms in 2008 by Rick Green, who only managed one – though he tried to create his own slate on his way out. Which brings us to Froese, who has served seven years.

The Township’s dynamic swings between two poles. Either a majority of voters are happy (More of the same please!) or they’re really, really unhappy (Throw the bums out!). They don’t take well to slates – they’ve roundly punished every attempt to create one since 1999.

If three councillors carpool to a meeting, their opponents will claim they’re a slate!

Right now, I’d say that the conditions may be right for a wholesale turnover on council. People are mad. About Brookswood! About parking and roads in Willoughby! About the 216th Street interchange!

Of course, people were mad about most of those things last election, and change was fairly minimal.

How about money? Well, winners in recent years have spent between $100,000 and zero. So that means… something.

I will say this – in October, 2018, either Richter or Froese will be mayor.

Unless it’s a third person who has yet to enter the race.

To be honest, after nearly 20 years of covering politics here, all I’ve learned is, don’t ever bet on elections.


Is there more to this?

Like us on Facebook or follow us on Twitter


Just Posted

Langley goes Hollywood

Red carpet fundraiser for ER campaign

Langley pedophile wins appeal after violating court order

Kelly Glen Isbister’s sentence was cut by the BC Court of Appeal

Neighbour recounts ‘fifteen minutes of insanity’ after deck collapses at Aldergrove wedding

Local resident Charles Ford ran over to the dozens wounded, along with many other neighbours

High school mechanics get ‘huge head start’

The ACSS apprentices will showcase their work at this year’s Country Car Show in Aldergrove.

$18 million Aldergrove amenity seen as unfair for other Township communities

An unanimous council voted in favour of Councillor Eric Woodward’s policy to provide downtown Aldergrove with more resources.

What’s age got to do with it? B.C. couple with 45-year gap talks happy marriage

An Armstrong couple that has 45-year age gap began turning heads after being featured on show Extreme Love.

WATCH: South Vancouver Island shooting an ‘isolated and targeted’ incident, say police

One person in custody, another fled following shooting and crash on West Shore

Woe, Canada: Bruins down Maple Leafs 5-1 in Game 7

No Canadian teams left in Stanley Cup playoffs

Defence accuses officer of ‘incompetence’ in trial for B.C. man accused in daughters’ murder

Double murder trial for the Victoria father accused of killing his two young daughters continues

Loud jets from Abbotsford are annoying residents of tiny U.S. town

Flights out of Abbotsford airport turn over border town and annoy residents, Sumas mayor says

B.C. men challenge constitutionality of Canada’s secret no-fly list

Parvkar Singh Dulai says he received a “denial of boarding” notification under the no-fly program last May 17

Murder on B.C. property didn’t need to be disclosed before sale, court rules

Buyer had tried to break contract after learning a man with ties to crime had been murdered there

VIDEO: Spiderman-clad Lamborghini makes pit stop in Abbotsford ahead of Avengers premiere

Highstreet Shopping Centre displaying unique car during Friday’s opening of Marvel movie

B.C.’s largest Vaisakhi festival target of threatening Facebook post: Surrey RCMP

Police say they are investigating the posts on Facebook, after local MLA forwarded screenshots

Most Read